ILOILO — Liberal Party’s standard bearer Manuel “Mar” Roxas II is the voters’ most preferred candidate here among the presidential aspirants this coming May 2016 elections.
With 47.9% of respondents choosing him, Roxas topped the opinion survey conducted by Random Access Consultants Inc. from December 15-19, 2015 in Iloilo.
Five in ten respondents prefer Roxas because he is a townmate (28%), a good man (12%) and they want him to continue the administration’s “matuwid na daan” (9.7%).
Among those who prefer Roxas, five in 10 respondents said they will not change their preferences anymore.
In terms of voter’s preference for president by district, Roxas leads the survey with 45.8% in 1st District, 38.4% in 2nd District, 41.2% in 3rd District, 57.2% in 4th District and 54.6% in 5th District.
On the other hand, Sen. Grace Poe, who recently asked the help of the Supreme Court to stop the Commission on Elections from cancelling her certificate of candidacy, came second with 19.6%.
Feisty Ilongga Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago ranked third with 11.3%, while Vice President Jejomar Binay and Rodrigo Duterte trail behind with 9.9 % and 8.7%, respectively.
A total of 1,200 respondents were polled province-wide, giving the survey an error margin of 3 points and confidence level of 95 percent.
Of the respondents, 240 were from 1st District, 190 from 2nd District, 260 from 3rd District, 250 from 4thDistrict and 260 from 5th District.
The survey used multistage probability sampling and face-to-face interview during data collection.
Leni overtakes Chiz
For the vice presidential derby, Camarines Sur Representative Leni Robredo overtaken Senator Chiz Escudero three months after she was anointed as official candidate of the Liberal Party.
Robredo (28.9%) held a 3.5-point lead over Escudero (25.4%) who has been leading the vice presidential surveys.
Alan Peter Cayetano (11.9%), Ferdinand Marcos Jr. (9.6%) and Antonio Trillanes IV (9.3%) were statistically tied in the 3rd place, while Gringo Honasan came last with 4.8%.
Robredo and Escudero were statistically tied in all districts. Thirty-two percent of the respondents in 1stDistrict said they will vote for Robredo, while 27 percent preferred Escudero.
Robredo inched ahead of Escudero in 2nd District with 33.7% against the 23.7% of the latter.
Most of the respondents in 3rd District were divided between Robredo (25.8%) and Escudero (25.4%), while those from 4th District preferred Robredo (30.4%) than Escudero (22.8%).
In the 5th District, however, Escudero (27.7 percent) was slightly ahead of Robredo (24.2 percent).
The respondents choose Robredo as their vice president because she is in tandem with Roxas (22.8%), while they believe Escudero is as a good man (22%).
Two months prior to the conduct of the survey, Iloilo’s prominent political clans, namely Biron, Defensor, Tupas and Garin, vowed to support the administration’s candidates from president, vice president, down to its senatorial slate.
It developed after former 4th District Congressman Ferjenel Biron and his partylist group Abyan Ilonggo allied with LP through a unity covenant signed last October 14, 2015 in Casa Real Iloilo.
As the campaign period draws near, reelectionist Governor Arthur Defensor is confident that the administration’s ticket will widen its lead against their opponents not only in surveys but during the actual election.
A total of 1,347,514 registered voters are expected to cast their ballots in Iloilo this May 2016 elections. JAN
Iloilo has a registered voter of 1,347,514 (Jezza Nepomoceno/Capitol News)